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Climate Alarmism, Ukraine, and Nuclear War
When I have a hard time fully wrapping my arms around something, I often find that though my logic may be sound, I may be basing that logic on a faulty assumption. The easiest way to get past a faulty assumption is to take a step back, starting with as basic a question as possible.
The most basic question with regard to the Russia/Ukraine War is not what may have caused that war, but rather “What causes war” in general.
Will Durant wrote that the first wars were fought over access to food and water, and that even today, wars are fought primarily over access to natural resources. This includes wars fought out of a fear of losing access to natural resources, as well as wars fought out of a desire to gain access to natural resources someone else controls. When we consider that labor is a natural resource, we might simply say that war is fought out of a desire to control.
I believe that Will Durant overlooked that ‘nation’ and ‘tribe’ are not universally held as synonymous. The Kurds have no nation, and yet they exist as a people, primarily in Iraq and Turkey. Poland did not exist as a nation from 1795-to-1918, and yet the Poles continued to consider themselves a people throughout that time. Nations have historically been most stable where they have revolved around shared cultural values.
World War One was sparked by the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, the heir apparent of the Austro-Hungarian Empire. Franz Ferdinand was assassinated by Serbian separatists, Serbia being a part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire that was neither Austrian nor Hungarian. Historians debate exactly how this assassination led to a World War, but one thing everyone agrees on is that all of the belligerents used the war to seek territorial claims for their respective countries. In other words, they fought over access to natural resources controlled by other countries.
World War Two was a logical extension of the Holy Roman Empire transitioning into the state of Germany. Uniting Germania into a German state had been a dream of the German people for as long as there had been a German people. Otto Von Bismark created Germany in 1871, but several parts of Germania, such as Austria, did not join. One of Hitler’s primary goals was to unite all of the German people into a single German state.
Based on all of this, we might say that wars have two basic causes: tribalism, and the desire to control access to natural resources (including labor).
Putin considers the Ukrainian people to be Russian. To him, this war is about reuniting Ukraine with its mother country and uniting the Russian people under a single flag. Ukraine, having had a taste of Western freedoms, has no desire to submit to Putin’s authoritarianism, so to Ukraine, the war is about the Ukrainian people’s rights to control their own labor.
The causes of this war are the same as the causes of all other wars, but there is another facet to the causes of war that Will Durant failed to mention – starting a war requires the belief that a war can be won. Putin invaded Ukraine to unite (and in so doing to control) what he considers wayward Russian labor, but he did so now because he is convinced he can win.
The true cause of the war in Ukraine then includes factors that convinced Putin he could win, and that involves European climate alarmists eliminating reliable sources of energy in Western Europe, causing Europe to become totally reliant on Russia for natural gas and oil – for a total of 40% of their energy needs.
If Putin wants to, he can shut off the oil and natural gas going into Europe, and if he does that in the winter, hundreds of millions of Western Europeans will freeze or starve to death. Putin knows this, and so do the leaders of Europe.
Putin invaded Ukraine because Europe gave him the power to kill off the rest of the continent. In other words, Putin invaded Ukraine because he knew that the rest of Europe could not do anything about it.
Europe neutered itself, and Putin is taking advantage. At the end of the day, it’s as simple as that.
Putin’s invasions in 2014 differed only in that he still had some fear of the United States, so he did not take the whole country. Without Crimea,⏤Russia has no year-round ports, making the 2014 invasion about natural resources as well.
There is a temptation to blame Joe Biden for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, based on the Biden family haven taken tens of millions of dollars from both Russia and Ukraine, Joe Biden’s general weakness on the world stage (which his declining mental state has only made worse), and the debacle of our Afghanistan exit, but it is important to note that Joe Biden is only responsible for the timing of Putin’s invasion. Those who believe in climate alarmism are the real cause such that even without Joe Biden, the invasion would have happened at some point in the future.
The United States is using climate alarmism to neuter itself on the world stage – just as Western Europe did with regard to Russia.
Ukraine’s independence has always depended on Russia believing that the cost of invading outweighed the benefits. Europe’s reliance on Russian energy mixed with the perception of Joe Biden as a corrupt, inept old fool told Putin that the balance was in his favor, and that the time to invade had come.
Ukraine is not the only country Putin thinks of as a part of ‘Mother Russia.’ According to Putin, the Baltic states, Poland, and a number of other nations in Eastern Europe and Northern Asia are all parts of ‘Mother Russia.’ Putin may even want Finland. He will invade any and eventually every one of these countries if he believes he can get away with it.
Climate alarmism has altered access to energy such that free nations now depend on despots to keep their homes heated and their lights on. This is shifting the balance of power both in Europe, and around the world.
Europe is wholly dependent on Putin for natural gas and oil. Europeans cannot heat their homes or turn on their lights without Putin’s support – and the Europeans did that intentionally to fight ‘climate change.’ Climate Alarmists in the United States are making the same mistakes here. Jen Psaki doubled down just the other day, claiming that the invasion of Ukraine proves that we need to do even MORE to eliminate fossil fuels, but the simple fact of the matter is that eliminating fossil fuels is not possible without a heavy reliance on nuclear power, which climate alarmists also want banned.
Jen Psaki has pledged that the Biden Administration is only going to make things worse.
Putin feels free to invade Ukraine, and to threaten to invade Finland and Sweden. European leaders can beat their chests and slap sanctions on Russia to give the appearance of taking action, but the leaders of Europe know that if Putin feels like it, hundreds of millions of Europeans will freeze and/or starve to death next winter.
If you control a nation’s access to energy, you control the nation, and Putin knows this. So too does Xi Jinping, who is spending a great deal of money convincing the American people that cheap and reliable energy is evil. Jinping is doing this to weaken us into the same political suicide Europe has already committed, and like good little lemmings, we follow along.
Now that China and Russia are suddenly allied against the West, the ONLY FORCE in the world that can stand up to this aggression is the United States, which is now led by incompetent fools who are committed to making us reliant upon our enemies for energy. I would love to talk about all the other stupid things the left believes (such as that criminals are victims and that the police are the criminals), but those other things are not causing a world war between nuclear powers, making climate alarmism the greatest threat facing the world today.
If Putin’s invasion of Ukraine succeeds, China will feel emboldened to start moving against Taiwan, and both China and Russia will feel free to continue to expand. The only way to avoid escalation is to ensure that Russia fails to secure Ukraine. If we were smart, we would be using our air power not only to ensure that Ukraine wins, but to make sure that Russia’s defeat is as swift and as bloody as possible.
We are in a world war. China and Russia are already fighting it, and we need to stand up to their aggression while we still have the capability to win. If we continue to fight climate change instead of our nation’s enemies, we may wind up in a situation we cannot win.
The road to Hell is paved with good intentions. So too, is the road to nuclear war.
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