Mathematical Modeling Illusions of Global Warming

by | Dec 18, 2018 |

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

For three decades now, man caused global warming alarmists have harassed society with stories of gloom and doom resulting from their belief that the end of the world as we know it is imminent as a result of the carbon dioxide emitted into the air by the burning of fossil fuel.
They are exercising precisely what prominent writer H.L. Mencken described early in the past century as “the whole point of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed and hence clamorous to be lead to safety by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary”. The man-caused global warming or climate change scare may well be the best hobgoblin ever conceived. 
It has half the world clamoring to be lead to safety from climate change without a shred of physical evidence. Every single statement issued to support these fear mongering claims now presented in a new 1500 page report from 13 separate agencies of the federal government by 300 Obama appointed scientists, has no basis in physical measurements or observations. What they do have are mathematical equations considered to be models of the Earth’s climate. They have only a handful of the hundreds of variables that do in fact impact our climate and the numbers inserted for the variables used are little more than guesses. Our government has financed more than one hundred efforts to model our planet for the better part of three decades. They continue to do so though none could ever predict the known past or after a decade of study accurately predicted what was to happen ten years later.
The problem facing real scientists who study climate with no paid for bias is that the public has no clue what a mathematical model actually is, how it works and what they can and can not do. So let’s try to simplify the subject in order to pull the wool back off the eyes of all Americans, and the rest of the world’s population as well.
There are many ways in which things or systems can be described. Before we build buildings or airplanes we make physical small scale models and test them against the stress and performances that will be required of them when they are actually built. When dealing with systems that are totally beyond our control we try and describe them with computer programs or mathematical equations that we hope may give answers to the questions we have about the system today and in the future. Historically mathematical descriptions of such systems were used to better understand how the system might work. We would attempt to understand the variables that affect the outcomes of the system.  Then we would alter the variables and see how the outcomes are effected. This is called sensitivity testing, the very best use of mathematical models.
Historically we were never foolish enough to make economic decisions based on predictions calculated from equations we think might control how nature works. This authors first introduction to using math to try and understand nature occurred almost 60 years ago performing graduate work on contaminated fluid transport in subsurface rocks. It was fun and instructive but never created a crystal ball of the future. That is exactly what the well paid math modelers throughout the academic world are now claiming the ability to do.
All problems can be viewed as having three stages, observation, modeling and prediction. Perhaps the most active area for mathematical modeling is the economy and the stock market. No one has ever succeeded in getting it right and there are far less variables than occur in determining the climate of our planet. For many years the Wall Street Journal selected five eminent economic analysts to select  a stock they were sure would rise in the following month. Then they had a chimpanzee throw five darts at a wall covered with that days stock market results. A month later they determined who did better choosing winners, the analysts or the chimpanzees darts. For many many years the chimps usually won so they concluded the contests. I am not saying today’s mathematical modelers would not beat chimps throwing darts at future Earth temperatures, but I will not object if you reach that conclusion. Their predictions for the past 20 years could just as well have been reached with darts because they have all been wrong.
Consider the following: we do not know all the variables but we are quite sure they are likely in the hundreds. We know how very few work. Clouds must play a significant role in the planet’s climate and we do not even know how they work. Yet today’s modelers believe they can tell you the planet’s climate decades or even a century in the future and want you to manage your economy accordingly. Either they are crazy to think this or we are crazy to believe them. I suspect both to be true.
Dr. Willie Soon of the Harvard-Smithsonian astrophysics laboratory once calculated that if we could know all the variables affecting climate and plugged them into the world’s largest computer, it would take 40 years to reach a conclusive answer.
Should we waste a single brain cell even considering the doomsday predictions that 300 scientists working in 13 government agencies all hired by President Obama are telling us we must all plan for. The answer is obvious, we should all go back to preparing for a wonderful winter holiday.

Avatar

Dr. Jay Lehr is a Senior Policy Analyst with the International Climate Science Coalition and former Science Director of The Heartland Institute. He is an internationally renowned scientist, author, and speaker who has testified before Congress on dozens of occasions on environmental issues and consulted with nearly every agency of the national government and many foreign countries. After graduating from Princeton University at the age of 20 with a degree in Geological Engineering, he received the nation’s first Ph.D. in Groundwater Hydrology from the University of Arizona. He later became executive director of the National Association of Groundwater Scientists and Engineers.

Tom Harris is Executive Director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition, and a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute. He has 40 years experience as a mechanical engineer/project manager, science and technology communications professional, technical trainer, and S&T advisor to a former Opposition Senior Environment Critic in Canada’s Parliament.

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

Disclaimer: The information contained in this website is for educational, general information, and entertainment purposes only and is never intended to constitute medical or legal advice or to replace the personalized care of a primary care practitioner or legal expert.

While we endeavor to keep this information up to date and correct, the information provided by America Out Loud, its website(s), and any properties (including its radio shows and podcasts) makes no representations, or warranties of any kind, expressed, or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability, or availability with respect to its website(s) or the information, products, services or related graphics and images contained on the website(s) for any purpose.

The opinions expressed on the website(s), and the opinions expressed on the radio shows and podcasts, are the opinions of the show hosts and do not necessarily represent the opinions, beliefs, or policies of anyone or any entity we may endorse. Any reliance you place on such information is therefore strictly at your own risk.

At no time, nor in any event, will we be liable for any loss, or damage, including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss of data or profits arising out of, in an association of, or connection with the use of this website.

Through this website, users can link to other websites that may be listed. Those websites are not under the control of America Out Loud or its brands. We have no control over the nature, content, or availability of those sites. America Out Loud has no control over what the sites do with the information they collect. The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation, nor does it endorse the views expressed with or by them.

Every effort is made to keep the website up and running smoothly. However, America Out Loud takes no responsibility for, nor are we, and will not be liable for being temporarily unavailable due to technical difficulties beyond our control. America Out Loud does not sell, trade, nor market email addresses or other personal data.

Use the code ‘OUTLOUD’ and receive your 20% discount on your first order.
Genesis HOC1
CofixRX
My Free Doctor.com
The UN, WEF, and Bill Gates are Really Trying to Starve Us into Submission

The UN, WEF, and Bill Gates are Really Trying to Starve Us into Submission

Experts warned of dangerous consequences from such sustainability policies, including food shortages, skyrocketing prices, social unrest, etc. As far as The World Economic Forum is concerned, you couldn’t have a Great Reset as long as you don’t reset the food supply because food is necessary to everybody. Stalin recognized this. Whoever controls the food supply controls the people…

Informed Dissent Needs to Collide with Newsom’s Attack on Informed Consent

Informed Dissent Needs to Collide with Newsom’s Attack on Informed Consent

Did nearly 90,000 Californians die from COVID-19? No. Many died because their government denied treatment to those infected with the patented Wuhan viral bioweapon. Thousands more infected patients were told to go home and suffer until their lips turned blue and only then go to the hospital, and most who did surely died from the deadly NIH hospital protocol…

Ethics in Healthcare: Why Did Nurses and Physicians Forget their Oaths?

Ethics in Healthcare: Why Did Nurses and Physicians Forget their Oaths?

America Out Loud PULSE with Jodi O’Malley MSN, RN – From the onset of our government’s declaration of the National Emergency Act and the subsequent novel policy and protocol changes handed down to the medical community in the name of COVID, I began to question the novel mandates being forced upon our society. Did Nurses and Physicians forget the oath they swore to uphold?

Post-Midterm Probes Will Force Media to Report Real News

Post-Midterm Probes Will Force Media to Report Real News

Assuming that Republicans take back control of the House in November — count on seeing a flip of oversight committee chairs release a high-tide floodgate of active probes into a myriad of potentially criminal actions. The big question is whether failing news business models will take precedents over their progressive politics, whereby they simply can’t afford to pass up…

Bridging the Gap Between Breggin and Desmet

Bridging the Gap Between Breggin and Desmet

Breggin is a representative of the very general turning away from Freud, that always risks throwing out the baby with the bath water. Desmet is a student of Freud but is unclear about how much he has already deviated from him, in particular by dropping his allegiance to materialism. Still, he seems to be very unclear, if not wholly mystified, about the alternative…

Mandates Collapse, mRNA in Breast Milk and Q & A 39 on America Out Loud PULSE

Mandates Collapse, mRNA in Breast Milk and Q & A 39 on America Out Loud PULSE

America Out Loud PULSE with Dr. Peter McCullough and Malcolm Out Loud – How long does it take for the vaccine spike protein and lipid nanoparticles leave the body? Are the new vaccines more potent than before and can they kill us? A tremor in my left thumb began a couple weeks after my 1st of 3 Pfizer vaccines, and has now graduated to my left arm resembling…

Union Interference, Government Oversight, Teachers Have Been Bamboozled

Union Interference, Government Oversight, Teachers Have Been Bamboozled

The United States started at the top of the educational ladder. Yet, after years of union interference that has brought in much government oversight, the US is now far behind on almost every level. While other countries worry about creating top mathematics programs, we are worried about what students want to be called and if they prefer a litter box or toilet…

Science of COVID, Spike Protein, and mRNA injections

Science of COVID, Spike Protein, and mRNA injections

America Out Loud PULSE with Dr. Vaughn & Dr. Tankersley – In addition to origin, the spike protein is the crux of the issue. It is the part of the virus that was manipulated to enter human cells. It is the viral protein that caused untoward damage to humans from both an inflammatory and coagulation perspective. Amazingly, it is this protein that was selected by our scientific elites…

The Fundamental Transformation of America Must Be Stopped!

The Fundamental Transformation of America Must Be Stopped!

So how do we stop it? Well, to use the left’s own words against them, we stop it “by any means necessary.” First off, never ever give up your guns. Secondly, take back our education system. Time to stop the communist indoctrination of our children. Thirdly, insist on fairness, and unbiased news media. If they refuse, hit them in the pocketbook by letting their advertisers know how you feel, and…

Economic Marxism – An Ideology Built on Lies

Economic Marxism – An Ideology Built on Lies

The lies on which both Economic and Social Marxism rely present the ideology as a pursuit of justice. In each case, the opposite of justice is produced because the life and rights of the individual are disregarded and replaced by the factional pandering on which the Marxist ruling class relies for generating its political capital. Each of Marxism’s lies is laid bare against the power of the truth on which our nation was founded…

Use the code ‘OUTLOUD’ and receive your 20% discount on your first order.
Genesis HOC1
CofixRX
My Free Doctor.com
America Out Loud 6 years

Celebrating 6 incredible years fighting to restore liberty and justice to our beloved America.

Your Source for Free Speech, Talk Radio, Podcasts, and News.

 

Here we take on the challenges of our generation so that we can preserve future generations. Please consider making a contribution in the fight for liberty!

iHeartRadio

The APPS are free; the mission is priceless!

Free APP

Podcast Networks

Apple Podcasts
Google Podcasts
Spotify
Pandora
Tunein
iHeart
Stitcher

Subscribe and Listen on Your Favorite APP

Our Columnists and Show Hosts

Bookstore

Apple Podcasts

Click for the full bookstore.

Truth For Health

Apple Podcasts

COVID Solution Summit

Apple Podcasts

Evacuating Americans & fully-vetted Afghan's at Risk - Help Us!

Apple Podcasts

Empowering and mentoring conservative trailblazers from Generation Z to win!

Apple Podcasts

Turning Point Action is Recruiting Precinct Chairs - Become a Grassroots Warrior Today!

Apple Podcasts

URGENT - KEEP NINE
Please join us to protect the Supreme Court:
Sign the Petition!

Apple Podcasts

The LATINO USA EXIT from the Democrat Party, click for details...

Apple Podcasts

Fighting corporate censorship and ensuring voter integrity...

Apple Podcasts

Support wounded and fallen police officers. The Wounded Blue.

Wounded Blue
Share via
Copy link