Somewhere Behind The Coronavirus Statistics Lies The Truth

by | Apr 5, 2020 |

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Years from now, I believe the American people will look back at this period with regret about media manipulation and gamesmanship that placed us in a reactive mode. What is different about this disease is the non-stop media coverage. We have not had that with previous pandemics. What we are watching and living through includes raw politics and the desire of Democrats to win the November elections by any means necessary.
On March 12, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the human coronavirus a pandemic, which is defined as a global outbreak of a disease. The existence of the coronavirus has created a worldwide panic. Among the things I don’t understand: why this virus, compared with others before it, warrants shutting down the United States and killing its economy. Our nation survived 9/11, Swine Flu, and H1N1. But coronavirus (COVID-19), together with the politics behind it, threatens to annihilate us.
A Look at the Statistics
When we look at the coronavirus numbers objectively, we might ask if the actual number of deaths and infections so far justify the measures taken around the world to contain the virus. Globally, the world has a population of 7.8 billion people. As of April 4, Worldometer, which is tracking the disease, reported 1,193,776 infections and 64,384 deaths. 
New York City (NYC), the epicenter of the disease in the United States, leads the news coverage because it has had the highest number of deaths. As of April 4, 3,565 were dead in New York State, 1,800 in NYC. There were 113, 704 infections statewide, with 63, 306 (more than half) of those in NYC. The population of New York City is 8.6 million people; for all of New York State it is 19.5 million. So, while NYC has 44% of its state’s population, it has over half of the state’s infected residents and deaths.
The United States has 327 million people. As of April 4, there were 305,341 coronavirus infections ranging in severity, with 8,283 deaths. A significant portion of those infections (113,704)  and deaths (3,565) involved New York residents. 
Since we are on the subject of deaths, we should also consider the number of abortions annually in the U.S.: 862,320 in 2017, down from 926,190 in 2014.
Do the math, and it’s clear that many more unborn babies are being killed every year in America than there are people dying from coronavirus (so far). But take a guess which one of those is rockin’ news coverage 24/7.

There’s big-time media advertising revenue to be made from coronavirus, helped along by overamped alarmist coverage.

Only essential services are supposed to be open during this pandemic, yet some states are allowing abortion clinics to remain open. It would seem killing unborn babies is essential business. New York is one of these places. All Womens Medical’s New York website states: “We are Open. We are doing Abortions, which are an essential medical service.”
Coronavirus fatality rate and statistical modeling
The worldometers website has compared the fatality rate of the coronavirus with other recent viruses. According to their data, the “case fatality rate with seasonal flu in the United States is less than 0.1% (1 death per every 1,000 cases).” The mortality rate for SARs was 10% and MERS 34%. The rate for the coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is estimated at 2% of those who contract the disease. Because the disease is ongoing, it is impossible to get an exact fatality rate. 
We have had doomsday predictions from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and other modelers have led to panic and hysteria among the public. On March 12, Dr. Amy Acton, Ohio’s Department of Health director, issued a statement proclaiming that 100,000 Ohioans had coronavirus. When pressed about the accuracy of her numbers, Acton conceded she was guesstimating. Likewise, on March 13, The New York Times reported that Matthew Biggerstaff, a top CDC disease modeler, presented four scenarios with his worst case projecting that “between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected [and] . . . As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.” 
The models are only as good as the data and the assumptions fed into them. Two Stanford professors are among scientists who have questioned the predictions of the virus models used to make decisions about the death rate and the shutdown of the country. These scientists believe that there has been a selection bias in the testing for COVID-19 because the persons presenting themselves for testing are already sick. Healthy people are not being tested.
Madeline Osburn, a staff writer for The Federalist, has reported an online interactive predictive map called COVID Act Now being used by cities, towns, and states to make planning decisions about how to handle the coronavirus. On March 31, at the top of their website in bold letters are these words: “Why You Must Act Now. Public Leaders and Health Officials: The only thing that matters right now is the speed of your response. This model is intended to help make fast decisions, not to predict the future.” These words have now been removed. Osburn quotes leaders across America who have relied on COVID Act Now’s dire predictions about deaths and hospital capabilities in their states and cities to make decisions about shutting down businesses.
Politics, Osburn argues, is at the heart of the matter. She writes: “Founders of the site include Democratic Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and three Silicon Valley tech workers and Democratic activists — Zachary Rosen, Max Henderson, and Igor Kofman — who are all also donors to various Democratic campaigns and political organizations.”
COVID Act Now’s website scares officials into acting quickly, even in areas where coronavirus virus cases are almost non-existent. Osburn cites Jessica Hamzelou’s NewScience article that questions COVID Act Now and other modelers’ heavy reliance on the UK’s Imperial Team as the primary source of data and flawed assumptions built into the primary source that can skew projections. As it stands, we do not know how many people in the U.S. will contract the disease and how many will die. Statistical modeling is an inexact science that is frequently wrong. 
On March 29, President Trump and his coronavirus team extended the period of time Americans have to practice social distancing to April 30. The team believes that the number of deaths in the U.S. can be held down to between 100,000-200,000, rather than the predicted 2.2 million if nothing was done. To repeat: our nation has 327 million people. There are other diseases you are more likely to die from than the coronavirus. Here’s the CDC ranking of the top 10 causes of death in America: 

  1. Heart disease: 647,457
  2. Cancer: 599,108
  3. Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
  4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
  5. Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
  6. Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
  7. Diabetes: 83,564
  8. Influenza and pneumonia: 55,672
  9. Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 50,633
  10. Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173

I am concerned about the politicization of the virus and the efforts from the Left to wreck the economy. Note how President Trump was originally calling for a stimulus package of around $1 trillion.

The final legislation was more than double that once Democrats like Nancy Pelosi sunk their teeth into it, adding billions of dollars in legislative fat and pork that had zero to do with the coronavirus.

As Chicago’s Rahm Emmanuel famously said: “You never want a serious crisis to go to waste.” That pertains to the media as much as it does to politics.
Calculating politics comes at a price. We have taught America’s enemies how easily we can be manipulated as a people. Coronavirus politics has accomplished something no foreign enemy could have done at gunpoint.

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Dr. Carol M. Swain is an award-winning political scientist, a former professor of political science and law professor at Vanderbilt University, and a lifetime member of the James Madison Society, an international community of scholars affiliated with the James Madison Program in American Ideals and Institutions at Princeton University. Before joining Vanderbilt in 1999, Dr. Swain was a tenured associate professor of politics and public policy at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.

Dr. Swain is an author, speaker, and the host of the podcast Be The People. Passionate about empowering others to raise their voices in the public square, she is an author, public speaker, and political commentator.

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Danny
Danny
2 years ago

Not one mention of the possibility of this virus being a BIOWEAPON. Come on, what are the chances of a virus coming from a bat at a seafood market when there is a BSL-4 Lab 900 feet from it where they were studying corona viruses in bats. Bats were not sold at the market nor are they native to the area. All indications even from certain Chinese scientist indicate that the COVID-19 virus came from the BSL-4 Lab.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVtlknjTgXk
https://law.illinois.edu/faculty-research/faculty-profiles/francis-boyle/
Gain-of-function (GOF) research involves experimentation that aims or is expected to (and/or, perhaps, actually does) increase the transmissibility and/or virulence of pathogens. … such that the virus would have enhanced pathogenicity and/or transmissibility in mammals via the respiratory route” (White House 2014)
Virulence – the severity or harmfulness of a disease or poison.
Transmissibility – The virus is highly transmissible to humans
Pathogenicity – the property of causing disease.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4996883/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqvLmh-Btm0
https://img-prod.tgcom24.mediaset.it/images/2020/02/16/114720192-5eb8307f-017c-4075-a697-348628da0204.pdf?fbclid=IwAR26u8nNCAnJvCyOLH-hOO5CPTbHAeA7trrvvvRsWVQ6dgRprs_KUzjm_rU
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-chinas-bat-woman-hunted-down-viruses-from-sars-to-the-new-coronavirus1/?print=true
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/molecular-biologist-says-coronavirus-could-have-leaked-wuhan-biolab
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/mar/30/china-researchers-isolated-bat-coronaviruses-near-/
https://www.conservativedailynews.com/2020/03/a-chinese-biologist-carrying-suspected-sars-and-mers-samples-attempted-to-enter-the-us/
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/there-are-least-8-strains-coronavirus-heres-what-we-know
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/03/27/scientists-track-coronavirus-strains-mutation/5080571002/
https://www.theepochtimes.com/the-closing-of-21-million-cell-phone-accounts-in-china-may-suggest-a-high-ccp-virus-death-toll_3281291.html
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/visualizing-secret-history-coronavirus-bioweapon
J.C. https://pre.neurobio.pitt.edu/people/j-j-jay-couey
J.C. Time-mark 28:00 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlplnH3VYyc&fbclid=IwAR1UCgLiFpENyxIOpQPXYnqt1PKek3uBqgHATsslvhGbuykqn5I-sJO7BR4
https://harvardtothebighouse.com/2020/01/31/logistical-and-technical-analysis-of-the-origins-of-the-wuhan-coronavirus-2019-ncov/
Explaining exponentiality https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEnuWv38urI&fbclid=IwAR1LHw9MopsNkNnPOGlHmamLS14HzbEcfsk-VnA8ZPgP6oWTvBByU8ZWhoA
Coronavirus versus others: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4JfzIUTYUA
Chinese – https://www.zerohedge.com/health/chinese-scientists-find-genetic-explanation-coronavirus-discriminating-race
Chinese – https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202003/04/WS5e5f93aaa31012821727c542_1.html?fbclid=IwAR3uE2vhdbUt2usx_9pzDI9jucW5S7lzayhhYb2V2YNqQqZo_W5lvOzOe1M
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/did-chinas-tencent-accidentally-leak-true-terrifying-coronavirus-statistics
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/creator-bioweapons-act-says-coronavirus-biological-warfare-weapon?fbclid=IwAR2F0iUjPOwx7lmfhw50Qv98zjjcNM15YHNWSslzTBtm1lO1YyAvFQ0nOyQ
https://law.illinois.edu/faculty-research/faculty-profiles/francis-boyle/
US Biowarfare Act Author: Studies Confirm Coronavirus Weaponized! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_TPjbu4FAE&t=1274s
Prof. Francis Boyle Update on Coronavirus Bioweapon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DAI3c9wE0Q&feature=youtu.be
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/event-201-unfolds-covid-19-action-platform-global-government
Redpill https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=113030640303659&id=107620440844679&__tn__=K-R
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBBIfGaml0c&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR1lfPcnWIq20FbbiYEvnMpsw5MceZCHLgY46bDgRCtA5cQRNeoHNZxMCuw
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/i-found-source-covid-19
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kw3lt5qBppE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU&feature=youtu.be

Debbie McConnell
Debbie McConnell
2 years ago

Thank you, Dr. Swain. LOTS to think about.

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